Back

Forest Ecology and Management

Elsevier BV

All preprints, ranked by how well they match Forest Ecology and Management's content profile, based on 27 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.03% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit. Older preprints may already have been published elsewhere.

1
Factors influencing birch (Betula spp.) age distribution in Norway: Insights from tree ring data

Vergarechea, M.; Anton Fernandez, C.; Jepsen, J.; Vindstad, O. P.; Astrup, R.

2025-06-14 ecology 10.1101/2025.06.10.658859 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
79.2%
Show abstract

The age-class distribution of forests is a key indicator of both carbon stock potential and biodiversity conservation, playing a vital role in sustainable forest management. In Norway, birch (Betula spp.) is the most abundant tree species, covering 42% of the forest area. Understanding the factors that shape the age structure of birch is essential for developing management practices that balance timber production, carbon sequestration, and biodiversity conservation. Using data from the Norwegian National Forest Inventory (NFI), we examined the age-class distribution of birch trees across various site conditions. Our analysis revealed that middle-aged trees (50-100 years) were prevalent in most regions, while older trees were notably scarce, particularly in highly productive areas. This pattern reflects management strategies prioritizing younger, fast-growing trees to maximize economic returns. In contrast, less productive sites, which are often managed less intensively, tend to support older trees. Additionally, younger birch trees revealed significantly greater radial growth than older generations when evaluated at the same biological age (e.g., at 10 years old), particularly under favorable site conditions. These findings underscore the combined effects of site productivity, forest management, and environmental factors on growth dynamics and age-class distribution.

2
Reforestation under climate change - a cross-regional deadwood retention experiment to develop multifunctional forests on disturbed Norway spruce areas

Putzenlechner, B.; Zwanzig, M.; Baessler, C.; Bernhardt-Roemermann, M.; Ebert, J.; Grieger, S.; Koal, P.; Oechler, H.; Peter, D.; Profft, I.; Spaleck, S.; Steinebrunner, F.; Tischer, A.; Thorn, S.; Wehnert, A.; Zhou, X.; Huth, F.

2026-01-12 ecology 10.64898/2026.01.12.698939 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
69.9%
Show abstract

The impact of extreme weather events such as droughts, heatwaves, storms and the associated intensification of bark beetle outbreaks in Norway spruce forests in recent years, has led to a large-scale forest loss in Central Europe. There are various options for post-disturbance management, from complete clearing to no intervention, but their pros and cons - in the context of multifunctional forest management - are not resolved. The "ResEt-Fi" project ("Pioneering reforestation: Regional management for establishing multifunctional forests on post-disturbed Norway spruce areas") consortium implemented a cross-regional field trial to test how specific practices of deadwood retention affect the ecological conditions and subsequent reforestation dynamics of natural regeneration and planted trees. It aims at generating climate-stable mixed forests within an ecological valuable transition, balancing ecosystem functioning and socio-economic benefits. As an outcome for stakeholders and forest practitioners, guidelines and showcase scenarios for facilitating the selection of management procedures will be created. In this article, we provide insight into (i) the applied post-disturbance deadwood management practices and the rationale for their selection, (ii) the experimental setup of our cross-regional field trial, (iii) the initial post-disturbance status and perspective with respect to regional site conditions and deadwood treatment. While the setup and site conditions will primarily serve as a reference for subsequent studies in our joint project, this is the first systematic, cross-regional study on the effects of the management options standing deadwood, high stumps and clearing on microclimate, biodiversity, and tree regeneration in the critical early stages of forest regeneration after disturbance.

3
Robust height-diameter allometries for 42 European tree species: stand characteristics and structure matter

Savine, N.; Cordonnier, T.; Ligot, G.; Vallet, P.

2025-09-30 ecology 10.1101/2025.09.29.679156 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
67.5%
Show abstract

Tree height is a key variable for assessing forest functioning and resources (e.g volume, carbon stocks) at both tree and stand levels. However, direct field measurements are costly and time-consuming. Developing accurate and unbiased height-diameter allometries applicable over large spatial scales is therefore crucial for forest research and management. Based on the French National Forest Inventory, with 269,460 tree-height observations on 49,120 plots measured, we developed generalized, species-specific height-diameter allometries that integrate stand dendrometrical characteristics and stand structure. The models cover 41 European tree species and the four main stand structures: even-aged, uneven-aged, coppice-with-standards and coppice. To enhance local accuracy, we developed an optional recalibration method at the plot level, assessing how many additional trees should be measured and which ones to select to maximize the improvement of the model. By integrating basal area as stand density and quadratic mean diameter as an indicator of stand development stage, our models enable us to assess the influence stand dendrometrical characteristics on these allometries and evaluate how different species responded to competition. Results indicate that with increasing competition, tree height tends to be higher for a given diameter, and that stand structure significantly influences 28 out of the 41 species. Local recalibration showed that measuring just one to six trees (among the largest and thinnest diameter) per plot reduced prediction error by 10 to 70%, depending on species. This study provides a useful, robust and scalable tool for forest research and management, for the most widespread species in Europe, while offering precision for local applications.

4
Coppice conversion of European beech (Fagus sylvatica L.): natural evolution, periodic thinning, regeneration cutting

Chianucci, F.; Bertini, G.; Tiberi, G.; Lazzerini, G.; Marchino, L.; Piovosi, M.; Cutini, A.

2025-11-26 plant biology 10.1101/2025.11.24.690100 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
55.8%
Show abstract

Beech coppice forests have shaped the mountainous European landscape for centuries. The socio-economical changes occurred over the last 60 years have led to a progressive decline in coppice management, which has resulted in either the abandonment of traditional coppice management, or into active coppice conversion to high forests. Given the long-term process of this process, an ecological, long-term perspective is required to understand the ecological implication of different management practices in these forests. We investigated the influence of conversion management on canopy attributes (leaf litter and seed production, leaf area index). The management options considered were traditional conversion management, based on periodic thinning, and alternative conversion, based on anticipated seed cutting and final harvesting, which were compared against natural evolution (unthinned control). Results showed that the differences between natural evolution and traditional conversion were largest in the years immediately after thinning, and then reduced with full canopy (leaf litter and leaf area index) recovery after 10 years. Conversely, the alternative method with the anticipated seed cutting significantly enhanced canopy heterogeneity and further accelerates the transition to high forest, with dense beech saplings reaching an height over 8 meters eight years post-harvest.

5
Rot or not? Uncovering the spatial patterns and drivers of Norway spruce root rot with harvester data

Suvanto, S.; Heikkinen, J.; Holmstrom, E.; Honkaniemi, J.; Piri, T.; Hantula, J.; Rasanen, T.; Riekki, K.; Sorsa, J.-A.; Hytonen, H.; Hoglund, H.; Rajala, T.; Lehtonen, A.; Peltoniemi, M.

2025-02-08 ecology 10.1101/2025.02.07.637055 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
55.7%
Show abstract

Root rot is a major problem for forestry, leading to reduced timber quality, growth losses, and increased disturbance risks. Harvester data provides a promising source of information for improving the knowledge on the root rot distribution. Here, we used harvester data (1) to map the risk of spruce root rot in southern and central Finland, and (2) to understand the drivers of the spatial patterns in rot occurrence. First, we built a statistical model predicting the percentage of stems affected by root rot on stand-level. To train the model, we used an extensive set of harvester data, containing 10,402 clear-cut forest stands, where the presence of root rot was recorded for each cut tree using an algorithm based on bucking patterns (i.e., cutting of the stem into different log assortments) recorded by the harvester. The model consisted of two parts, a fixed component describing the effects of different drivers of root rot, and a spatial random component describing the spatial patterns not explained by the fixed part of the model. The fixed part included forest and site attributes, landscape characteristics and proxies of forest-use legacies. The model was then used to map root rot risk, by predicting the probability of root rot occurrence using spatial data sets of the variables in the fixed part of the model, and the known rot status of locations in the data set for the random part of the model. Finally, the map was tested with an independent validation data, verifying its ability to identify the high-risk areas. Proxies of forest-use legacies, tree size and site fertility were found to drive the percentage of rot-affected stems in stands. The results quantify the root rot risk in Finland in higher detail than before and demonstrate the large potential of harvester data in informing about the risk of root rot in boreal forests.

6
A high-resolution, country-wide scenario analysis of forest susceptibility to spruce bark beetle damage in Norway

Cattaneo, N.; Krokene, P.; Astrup, R.

2025-05-07 ecology 10.1101/2025.05.06.652523 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
55.1%
Show abstract

The European spruce bark beetle (Ips typographus (L.)) poses a growing threat to Norways forests under climate change, particularly in extensive spruce-dominated forests. Because controlling active outbreaks is notoriously difficult, reducing forest susceptibility through proactive management is essential. In this study, we used high-resolution simulations covering all of Norways forested land ([~]120,000 km2) to explore how different harvesting strategies affect long-term forest susceptibility to SBB damage. We compared a no-harvest baseline, a business-as-usual regime guided by economic criteria, and a risk-informed strategy that prioritizes harvesting of the most susceptible stands. Across two climate trajectories, we found that susceptibility-guided harvesting significantly reduced average forest susceptibility and fragmented high-risk areas, particularly in southern Norway. However, our results also reveal limitations to this approach: even with aggressive susceptibility-guided harvesting, long-term risk reductions plateau due to the homogenizing effects of even-aged forestry. Spatial connectivity analysis using electrical circuit theory further showed that susceptibility-guided harvesting disrupted landscape continuity among high-risk patches, suggesting a potential to constrain outbreak spread. These findings highlight the value of integrating susceptibility indicators and spatial connectivity metrics into forest planning to support adaptive, risk-informed management under climate uncertainty.

7
Low impact of internal stem decay on forest carbon stocks in fire-prone Pinus ponderosa forests

Hauck, M.; Batsaikhan, G.; Csapek, G.; Rust, S.; Zald, H. S. J.; Dulamsuren, C.

2026-05-20 ecology 10.64898/2026.05.17.725735 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
53.8%
Show abstract

Large old trees are of eminent importance for organic carbon storage in forest ecosystems and thus play a role in mitigating climate change. Such trees also have an increased risk of internal stem decay and tree cavity formation, which promotes biodiversity, but complicates the prediction of their biomass and carbon stocks, which is usually done from stem diameter and tree height data applying allometric biomass functions. Since the extent of internal stem decay is known to vary widely between different forest ecosystems and data from moist temperate forests exhibited low significance of internal stem decay, we studied dry, frequently fire-exposed Pinus ponderosa forests in central Oregon to capture the other climatic extreme of temperate forests. We hypothesized high significance of internal stem decay for stand aboveground tree biomass, as we assumed widespread stem injury from fire. In addition, we tested the hypothesis that far more than the largest 1% of trees are necessary for 50% stand biomass, as this hypothesis is found in the literature, but has been challenged in other studies. We found low biomass loss due to internal stem decay by only ca. 1% suggesting that also for fire-prone temperate forests of western North America, biomass estimates based on allometric regression are reliable. The 1% largest trees-50% stand aboveground biomass hypothesis has to be rejection for our forests as long as only trees of a size are included that noteworthily contribute to stand biomass. This metrics strongly depends on regeneration density, which is not relevant for stand biomass.

8
High-severity fires undermine resilience of black spruce-dominated boreal forests in eastern North America

Fortin, S.; Boucher, Y.; Bergeron, Y.; Simard, M.; Arseneault, D.; Asselin, H.; Barette, M.; Danneyrolles, V.; Gauthier, S.; Girard, F.; Girardin, M.; Parisien, M.-A.; Thiffault, N.; Valeria, O.

2025-05-23 ecology 10.1101/2025.05.17.654490 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
52.8%
Show abstract

Climate-induced fire regime shifts may reduce post-fire resilience of black spruce-dominated (BS; Picea mariana) North American boreal forests. While post-fire vulnerability of immature BS stands has been extensively studied, no study has evaluated simultaneous effects of fire severity and seasonality on the post-fire regeneration of mature (> 60-year-old) BS stands. This study aims to quantify post-fire regeneration levels of BS and co-occurring tree species to assess ecosystem recovery and possible loss of resilience due to regeneration failure. We analyzed effects of seed bank conditions, fire regime characteristics (fire severity and seasonality), and seedbed conditions on BS post-fire regeneration in mature forests in Quebec, Canada. Post-fire regeneration density was extensively surveyed across [~]50 400 km2 through a network of 536 plots that were distributed in 21 fires, which burned between 1995 and 2016. One-third of plots failed to regenerate (< 1750 conifer seedlings/ha) at levels adequate to produce closed-crown forest, whereas one-fifth experienced compositional changes, mainly towards jack pine (JP; Pinus banksiana) dominance. Pre-fire basal area of BS and living Sphagnum ground cover increased BS post-fire regeneration, whereas high-severity crown fires and spring fires reduced it. These findings suggest that mature BS-dominated forests may lose resilience in response to high-severity and spring fires. Given the projected increase in fire severity, and the extension towards an early-fire season in response to climate change, our study suggests that post-fire regeneration failure may become more frequent over the coming decades, with potential negative consequences on ecosystem services that are provided by BS-dominated boreal forests.

9
Management recommendations for Alpine protection forests: the importance of regeneration quality and initial stand composition

Schmid, U.; Frehner, M.; Bugmann, H.

2024-05-22 ecology 10.1101/2024.04.25.591179 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
52.7%
Show abstract

The protection of infrastructure against gravitational natural hazards is one of the most important ecosystem services (ES) of mountain forests in Alpine countries. For a continuous provision of this ES, forests need to have a high protective effect, e.g., high canopy cover and/or stem numbers, while being resistant to and resilient after disturbances by being well-structured and stable, having a species composition adapted to the local site conditions and sufficient regeneration, all on a relatively small spatial scale. While "natural" forests may fulfill these prerequisites without human intervention, management history and high levels of ungulate browsing have produced unsustainable stand structures in many protection forests that need to be improved by management. The general principles of protection forest management are well established, but there are no quantitative, science-based recommendations for management regimes, i.e., specific sequences of interventions, that ensure a continuous protective quality. Our goal was to derive such recommendations for different stand types across three elevational zones, from mixed forests of the upper montane to spruce forests of the subalpine zone. We used an updated version of the model ProForM to simulate stand development under different levels of ungulate browsing, testing a large number of management regimes that vary in the spatial aggregation of tree removal, the intensity and interval of the interventions. We investigated the influence of browsing pressure and management on the protective quality using Boosted Regression Trees and Beta regression. High levels of ungulate browsing had such a strong negative effect on the protective quality that it could not be improved through forest management. This underlines the need for maintaining ungulate densities in Alpine forests at levels that allow for the successful regeneration of all key tree species. In stands that are influenced less by browsing, the protective quality can be improved through management in many cases, with specific management recommendations differing mostly depending on the initial stand conditions and, to a lesser extent, on the elevational zone. Well-structured stands provide a high protective quality without management interventions during at least a century across all elevational zones. In young and in mature stands, we generally recommend management regimes with relatively long return intervals of 30 to 40 years and low intervention intensities of 10 to 20% basal area removal.

10
Diverging drivers of alpha and beta diversity across management types in Swedish boreal forests

Jones, F. A.; Hardenbol, A. A.; Larsson Ekstrom, A. A.; Hekkala, A.-M. A.; Jonsson, M.; Koivula, M.; Strenbom, J.; Sjogren, J.

2025-09-02 ecology 10.1101/2025.08.28.672851 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
52.6%
Show abstract

O_LIManaging multifunctional forest landscapes requires a better understanding of how biodiversity dimensions respond to habitat structures and management regimes. While species richness is commonly used to assess conservation value, it may not capture compositional differences critical for maintaining regional biodiversity. C_LIO_LIWe examined how local species richness (alpha diversity) and community turnover (beta diversity) relates to forest structure and management in Swedish boreal forests. We surveyed lichens, bryophytes, and polypore fungi, representing three sessile taxo-ecological groups across 120 sites.. The sites were distributed between three management types: young production forests, retention patches (trees left during harvest to support mature forest species in production forests), and unmanaged set-asides. We used generalised linear models and generalised dissimilarity modelling to assess how habitat structures (deadwood and living tree metrics) and spatial distance explained patterns of richness and turnover across taxa and management types. C_LIO_LIFor all taxa, species richness increase with lying deadwood volume. Lichen species richness also increased with living tree volume, and decreased with tree density in retention patches. Lichens had higher species richness in retention patches and set-asides, whereas only set-asides had statistically higher bryophyte richness, and there were no differences for polypore richness. In contrast, beta diversity was more often associated with geographic distance, with only limited influence of deadwood volume. The relationships between lichen beta diversity and habitat structures were not consistent between retention patches and set-asides, suggesting that retention patches may have limitations in conserving mature forest species despite supporting similar lichen species richness. C_LIO_LISynthesis and applications. Our results demonstrate that alpha and beta diversity can be driven by different ecological processes and management contexts, and that while tree retention can support higher biodiversity than young production forests in some taxa, it cannot replace the value of conserving mature forests. Effective conservation therefore needs to combine habitat quality and spatial complementarity when planning conservation initiatives to maintain diversity patterns across managed landscapes. C_LI

11
Harvesting effects on forest condition indicators across Iberian forests: Implications for the EU Nature Restoration Regulation

Rebollo, P.; Ruiz-Benito, P.; Andivia, E.; Zavala, M. A.; Astigarraga, J.; Suvanto, S.; Cruz-Alonso, V.

2025-12-12 ecology 10.64898/2025.12.11.693644 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
52.2%
Show abstract

O_LIForest degradation is posing a growing threat to biodiversity conservation, climate regulation and nature contributions to people worldwide. The EU Nature Restoration Regulation (NRR) recognise the need of healthy forests and has established indicators to assess the condition of forest ecosystems. Forest management practices, especially harvesting may contribute to improve these indicators by, for example, reducing tree density and promoting tree species diversification. C_LIO_LIHere, we assessed temporal trends in forest condition indicators (hereafter, indicators) across Iberian forests since the 80s and evaluated how harvesting occurrence and intensity modulated these trends. Using 46,354 plots from the Spanish Forest Inventory (1986-2022), we analysed trends in indicators depending on stand diversity (monospecific or mixed), protection status (protected or unprotected), origin of the stand (natural or planted), and biogeographical region (Mediterranean or temperate). C_LIO_LIOverall, indicators increased over time. Harvesting occurrence reduced the increases in aboveground carbon stocks, structural diversity, tree species diversity, and standing deadwood; however, it contributed to increase the proportion of native species in specific forest types. Medium to high harvesting intensity negatively impacted aboveground carbon stocks, while medium intensities increased tree species diversity but reduced the structural diversity. C_LIO_LISynthesis and applications. Our results suggest that indicators are increasing as stand develops in absence of disturbances such as harvesting. Tree harvesting cannot be considered as a silver bullet to achieve the objectives of the NRR, but it can contribute under certain conditions - specifically at low intensities for carbon stocks and at medium intensities for species diversity. The naturally positive trend of indicators underlines the need to establish thresholds values and minimum rates of changes that distinguish restoration outcomes from natural dynamics. Finally, our study also highlights the key role of forest inventories in monitoring forest condition over time and across diverse landscapes. C_LI

12
Impacts of landscape-scale windthrow and subsequent, variable reforestation on bird communities in Central Europe

Kamp, J.; Trappe, J.; Duebbers, L.; Funke, S.

2020-06-20 ecology 10.1101/2020.06.18.159400 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
51.9%
Show abstract

With climate change, the area affected by and the intensity of forest disturbances such as windthrow, insect outbreaks and fire will be increasing. Post-disturbance forest management will be varied, and it is difficult to predict how much natural succession will be allowed in comparison to reforestation. Both, disturbance and reforestation will affect forest biodiversity globally, but potential shifts in species distribution, abundance and community composition are poorly understood. We studied the response of breeding bird communities to windthrow and different reforestation strategies in one of Central Europes largest contiguous windthrow areas created by storm Kyrill in 2007. A decade after the disturbance, we compared bird species diversity, population densities and community composition on plots in replanted beech, replanted conifers and secondary succession (all salvage-logged after the storm), with undisturbed old Norway spruce Picea abies as a control, in the setting of a natural experiment. Of the stands blown down, 95% were Norway Spruce. Reforestation strategies varied, with Spruce and non-native conifers planted on twice the area that was replanted with European Beech Fagus sylvestris. Large areas were still dominated by successional tree species a decade after the storm, especially birch, mirroring recommendations of sub-national forestry agencies to include secondary succession in future forest development. Birds responded strongly to windthrow, with a pronounced community turnover. Species associated with high conifer stands reached significantly lower densities on sample plots in disturbed areas. Replanted areas were characterized by mostly ubiquitous bird species. Areas dominated by secondary succession, especially birch Betula spp., were characterized by high densities of long-distance migrants (often species of conservation concern) and shrubland species, among them several indicator species. Our results suggest that an increase of forest disturbance across Central Europe will lead to a pronounced reorganisation of biodiversity. Strategies that allow more secondary succession, and avoid replanting allochthonous tree species are likely to benefit populations of depleted bird species, even at salvage-logged and cleared disturbance sites.

13
Unveiling effects of growth conditions on crown architecture and growth potential of Scots pine trees

Saarinen, N.; Kankare, V.; Huuskonen, S.; Hynynen, J.; Bianchi, S.; Yrttimaa, T.; Luoma, V.; Junttila, S.; Holopainen, M.; Hyyppa, J.; Vastaranta, M.

2021-12-14 ecology 10.1101/2021.12.13.472374 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
48.3%
Show abstract

Trees adapt to their growing conditions by regulating the sizes of their parts and their relationships. For example, removal or death of adjacent trees increases the growing space and the amount of light received by the remaining trees enabling their crowns to expand. Knowledge about the effects of silvicultural practices on crown size and shape as well as about the quality of branches affecting the shape of a crown is, however, still limited. Thus, the aim was to study the crown structure of individual Scots pine trees in forest stands with varying stem densities due to past forest management practices. Furthermore, we wanted to understand how crown and stem attributes as well as tree growth affects stem area at the height of maximum crown diameter (SAHMC), which could be used as a proxy for tree growth potential. We used terrestrial laser scanning (TLS) to generate attributes characterizing crown size and shape. The results showed that increasing stem density decreased Scots pine crown size. TLS provided more detailed attributes for crown characterization compared to traditional field measurements. Furthermore, decreasing stem density increased SAHMC and strong relationships (Spearman correlations >0.5) were found between SAHMC and crown and stem size as well as stem growth. Thus, this study provided quantitative and more comprehensive characterization of Scots pine crowns and their growth potential.

14
Large-scale informative priors to better predict the local occurrence rate of a rare tree-related microhabitat

Cottais, P.; Courbaud, B.; Gouix, N.; Larrieu, L.; Laroche, F.

2024-12-03 ecology 10.1101/2024.11.28.625900 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
46.4%
Show abstract

Tree-related microhabitats (TreMs) are key features for forest biodi-versity, and knowing their accumulation rate is essential to design inte-grative management strategies. Many types of TreMs are associated to large old trees and show slow ontogenical processes. The rarity of such TreMs (particularly in intensively managed forests) hinder the estimation of their occurrence rate along tree growth. Here, we used a continental meta-analysis on TreMs occurrence rate along tree growth to build in-formative priors for a model of trunk-base rot-hole occurrence on oaks within the Gresigne forest, France -- a context where stand management and tree DBH were confounded. We explored whether the use of infor-mative priors could improve the identifiability, the precision of estimates and the predictive abilities of the model. Without prior information, the low variance of tree DBH within management modalities rendered the model poorly identifiable and prevented the detection of an effect of tree DBH per se across the range of explored tree DBH. By contrast, using informative priors contributed to improve the precision of estimates and lead to detecting a positive effect of tree DBH per se. Informative priors did not degrade the model fit and clearly improved predictive abilities on new stands. In particular, while the model without prior information did not predict the occurrence of trunk-base rot-holes significantly better than a purely random guess, the model with informative priors did. Ir-respective of the prior used, models suggested that the high recruitment of trunk-base rot-holes in Gresigne may be a temporary management ef-fect in stands undergoing conversion from coppice-with-standards to high forest through sprout thinning, which will lead to conservation issues for cavicolous saproxylic species when all conversions are complete. Because using informative priors was simple and beneficial in our study, it should be further explored in other local applied contexts to orientate forest man-agement.

15
Comparisons of Tree Damage Indicators in Five NASA ABoVE Forest Sites Near Fairbanks, Alaska

Huebner, D. C.; Potter, C. S.

2024-07-16 ecology 10.1101/2024.07.10.602861 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
45.7%
Show abstract

As global warming affects sensitive northern regions, forests near Fairbanks, Alaska may be undergoing attack from pests and pathogens that could impact their ability to store carbon. Visual tree surveys are quick and useful for assessing forest health in remote sensing studies using GT (ground-truthing). Initial spectral analysis of leaf pigments, canopy water content, and non-photosynthetic carbon of one site near Fairbanks, Alaska imaged with AVIRIS-NG by NASA for the Arctic and Boreal Vulnerability Experiment (ABoVE) showed high fire fuel loads in 2017 that burned in 2019. In 2021-2022 we visually assayed damage of 359 deciduous and 309 coniferous trees at five ABoVE sites of different moisture regimes and burn severities. Using indices of 0 - 5 (0 = healthy, 5 = severe damage) we calculated average damage per tree from: 1) leaf damage (holes or defoliation); 2) stem damage (changes in stem color, texture, growth, heartwood, sap ooze, or stem loss); 3) non-photosynthetic tissue, aka "browning"; and 4) wilting. We also characterized crown color tree-1. Least squares models found low overall average tree damage, but damage types were varied and complex. Deciduous trees suffered greater herbivore damage than conifers. A third of trees showed broadleaf insect damage, a tenth of trees across species showed stem damage associated with pathogens. Aspen and conifers showed heartwood rot, but we found no visual signs of spruce beetle at our sites. Structural equation models found greater stem damage and wilting in warmer soils and post-burned sites supporting seedlings. Browning was associated with understory branches of conifers in late-successional sites with colder, shallower soils. Our study suggests that deciduous trees and seedlings near Fairbanks, Alaska are experiencing herbivory and midsummer wilting, and conifer understory browning is common.

16
Habitat edges affect tree diversity more than biomass regeneration in a reforested wet neotropical timber plantation

Medina, N.; Capetz, E.; Johnson, A.; Mendoza, A.; Villalobos, M.

2022-12-09 ecology 10.1101/2022.12.06.515700 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
45.5%
Show abstract

About half of all forests are tropical and secondary, making tropical forest regeneration integral to future forests. Tree stand biomass and taxonomic richness can recover in a few decades, but relative abundances may lag indefinitely. Since most forests are within a km of a habitat edge, edge effects likely affect community composition regeneration. However, most studies assess how degraded edges affect intact forests, leaving it unclear whether higher-quality edges could facilitate regeneration of nearby degraded forests. Notably, higher quality edges near intact forests could promote processes like dispersal and wood biomass accumulation that effectively accelerate succession, leading to better performance of shade-tolerant taxa compared to pioneer taxa in the early stages of forested plantation regeneration. This study addressed how wet tropical forested plantation regeneration was affected by distance to adjacent intact forest edge. It was hypothesized that old timber plantations facilitate regeneration by increasing available shade, favoring the presence and biomass of later-successional taxa, ultimately changing community composition overall. A wet neotropical timber plantation reforested after 20 years and adjacent to primary forest was censused for trees along a 300 m edge distance gradient, and analysis matched identified taxa to broad dispersal mode and wood density traits using relevant literature. As distance from primary forest edge increased, stem and wood density tended to increase significantly, with ~10% variation explained, while biomass and canopy light surprisingly tended to stay the same. Stand tree richness also tended to increase significantly, but diversity decreased steeply and non-linearly, explained in part by wood density, and taxonomic composition varied notably. Finally, tree taxa associated with both early and late successional stages decreased significantly, as well as genus Ficus, but biomass by dispersal mode did not tend to change. Overall this study supports that stand composition is less resilient and more subject to edge effects than biomass and richness, suggesting that global forests will likely be distinctly new assemblages in the future, with timber and biodiversity trade-offs occurring based on local and regional management activity.

17
Vertical Variation of the Caterpillar Community in Oak (Quercus robur) Canopies

Morley, L. M.; Cole, E. F.; Crofts, S. J.; Sheldon, B. C.

2026-04-10 ecology 10.64898/2026.04.07.717053 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
45.4%
Show abstract

1) BackgroundUnderstanding how caterpillar communities vary within tree canopies is key to interpreting forest trophic dynamics and responses to environmental change, yet such variation remains poorly quantified due to the challenges of sampling in three dimensions. 2) AimsWe quantified within-canopy heterogeneity in caterpillar densities, diversity, and herbivory and explored relationships with host tree phenology and commonly used ground-based monitoring approaches. 3) MethodsUsing direct canopy access, we sampled branches from lower, middle, and upper canopy strata of 34 mature pedunculate oaks (Quercus robur) in Wytham Woods, UK, during the spring abundance peak over three consecutive years (2023-2025). We tested for vertical stratification in caterpillar community metrics, examined patterns in early instar distributions at emergence, assessed associations with host tree phenology across spatiotemporal scales, and evaluated how well ground-based methods (water and frass traps) reflect canopy communities. 4) ResultsVertical stratification was modest but varied among years: densities and species richness increased with canopy height in 2023, decreased in 2024, and were uniformly low across strata in 2025. Although within-crown budburst timing varied systematically, with upper branches bursting approximately two days earlier than lower branches, tree phenology did not explain within- or between-year variation in caterpillar communities. Frass trap data correlated moderately well with canopy caterpillar densities, whereas water traps showed weaker and less consistent relationships, reflecting behavioural and methodological biases. 5) ConclusionsCaterpillar communities showed no consistent patterns of vertical stratification across years, instead they are shaped more strongly by inter-annual and tree-level variation. Integrating targeted canopy sampling with scalable ground-based proxies could greatly improve monitoring of arboreal Lepidoptera and inform studies of trophic synchrony and wood-land resilience under environmental change.

18
How tree diversity and ectomycorrhizal dominance affect biomass allocation of mixed deciduous forests

Ritter, A.; Yaffar, D.; Meier, I. C.

2026-01-30 ecology 10.64898/2026.01.29.702198 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
42.4%
Show abstract

Biomass and surface area allocation affect resource uptake and carbon (C) residence time in forests, but the influence of tree diversity on allocation remains poorly understood. Moreover, mycorrhizal associations can alter this relationship, which has been rarely tested in mature forests. We investigated the role of both the proportion of ectomycorrhizal (ECM) trees and tree diversity on tree biomass and surface area allocation across a dual gradient of tree diversity (0 - 1.68 Shannon diversity) and ECM dominance (0 - 100 %) in a mixed deciduous forest area in Central Germany. We found that the two gradients affected tree biomass and surface area differently and mostly independently. Tree diversity had no significant effect on biomass or surface area in the investigated forest area, but increased the spatial variability of the leaf area index (LAI) from 21 % to 40 %. In contrast, a higher proportion of ECM trees was associated with an increase in fruit biomass (from 10 to 141 g m-2) and LAI (from 4 to 7 m2 m-2). Although tree diversity and the portion of ECM produced similar parsimonious models for explaining belowground biomass and surface area, neither showed a significant direct effect. Notably, their interaction enhanced the spatial variability of fine root biomass and root surface area; that is, forests with high diversity and a greater proportion of ECM trees exhibited a more heterogeneous distribution of fine roots. Allocation to fine root biomass appeared independent of tree diversity and the proportion of ECM trees, being influenced primarily by stand structure, with higher allocations observed in stands with lower stem basal area. We conclude that biomass allocation in this Central European Forest, where resource availability is relatively uniform, is primarily productivity-driven. A comparison of the biotic influences shows that ECM trees have a stronger control on aboveground surface area and fruit biomass than tree diversity, which may contribute to the ability of dominant ECM trees, such as European beech, to outcompete light competitors, but also puts temperate ECM forests at risk of physiological failures in increasingly drier future conditions.

19
Mapping the probability of forest snowdisturbances in Finland

Suvanto, S.; Lehtonen, A.; Nevalainen, S.; Lehtonen, I.; Viiri, H.; Strandström, M.; Peltoniemi, M.

2020-12-24 ecology 10.1101/2020.12.23.424139 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
40.4%
Show abstract

The changing forest disturbance regimes emphasize the need for improved damage risk information. Here, our aim was to (1) improve the current understanding of snow damage risks by assessing the importance of abiotic factors, particularly the modelled snow load on trees, versus forest properties in predicting the probability of snow damage, (2) produce a snow damage probability map for Finland. We also compared the results for winters with typical snow load conditions and a winter with exceptionally heavy snow loads. To do this, we used damage observations from the Finnish national forest inventory (NFI) to create a statistical snow damage occurrence model, spatial data layers from different sources to use the model to predict the damage probability for the whole country in 16 x 16 m resolution. Snow damage reports from forest owners were used for testing the final map. Our results showed that best results were obtained when both abiotic and forest variables were included in the model. However, in the case of the high snow load winter, the model with only abiotic predictors performed nearly as well as the full model and the ability of the models to identify the snow damaged stands was higher than in other years. The results showed patterns of forest adaptation to high snow loads, as spruce stands in the north were less susceptible to damage than in southern areas and long-term snow load reduced the damage probability. The model and the derived wall-to-wall map were able to discriminate damage from no-damage cases on a good level. The damage probability mapping approach identifies the drivers of snow disturbances across forest landscapes and can be used to spatially estimate the current and future disturbance risks in forests, informing practical forestry and decision-making and supporting the adaptation to the changing disturbance regimes.

20
Naturalness of forest composition affects vulnerability to climate change and disturbances in Alpine mountain landscapes

Marzini, S.; Albrich, K.; Crespi, A.; Tasser, E.; Wellstein, C.; Mina, M.

2026-01-30 ecology 10.64898/2026.01.29.702232 medRxiv
Top 0.1%
40.3%
Show abstract

European mountain forests have been strongly shaped by past human activities, which have influenced their structure and composition. Assessing the natural tree-species composition of current forest landscapes is essential for evaluating their biodiversity potential and for informing management prioritization. High levels of compositional naturalness are often associated with greater ecosystem functioning, but it remains unclear whether forest landscapes that are closer to their potential forest composition are also less vulnerable to future climate change and natural disturbances. Using a process-based forest landscape model, we quantified the naturalness and the vulnerability to disturbances across a large forested area in the Italian Alps. We developed a spatially-explicit index to evaluate how closely current tree species composition matches potential forest composition. We then simulated future forest dynamics under multiple climate change and disturbance scenarios, using two different initial vegetation conditions on the same landscape - potential vs. current forest - and compared their vulnerability based on changes in species dominance, vegetation structure, and height heterogeneity. Results indicate that current forests exhibit generally low naturalness compared with their potential forest composition, reflecting historical management and agro-silvopastoral practices. The naturalness score changed depending on elevation across the landscape: forests at low (<1500 m a.s.l.) and high (>2100 m a.s.l.) elevations had low naturalness, while those in the mid-elevation range (1500-2100 m) exhibited medium to high levels of naturalness. Vulnerability to disturbances under climate change differed markedly between the two initial vegetation conditions. Current forest was more susceptible to bark beetle outbreaks, driven by past promotion of Norway spruce and further amplified by warming. In contrast, the potential forest was more vulnerable to wind disturbance, likely due to old-growth characteristics, such as greater height heterogeneity and canopy roughness, that increase blowdown susceptibility. This study provides the first assessment of forest naturalness using spatially explicit dynamic landscape modelling. Given the projected intensification of natural disturbances under future climates, our findings suggest that promoting more natural forest conditions alone may not guarantee higher resilience to climate-induced disturbances. Instead, management approaches should aim at increasing landscape-level structural and compositional heterogeneity in a balanced manner to minimizing future disturbance vulnerability.